Race 2A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marian Frances Williams 18.9% 16.4% 16.1% 13.5% 10.5% 8.7% 6.7% 4.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Paula Resto 8.4% 9.2% 8.2% 11.3% 11.8% 10.6% 10.0% 9.2% 8.7% 6.7% 3.8% 1.8% 0.3%
emilia giovine 4.4% 4.5% 4.8% 8.1% 7.1% 8.3% 7.9% 11.1% 13.8% 11.4% 10.3% 6.7% 1.6%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.3% 20.0% 15.7% 13.5% 9.8% 7.7% 5.5% 2.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Riley Kloc 10.3% 9.0% 10.6% 9.1% 10.6% 9.0% 11.6% 10.6% 7.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 9.7% 11.3% 10.1% 10.7% 10.4% 12.2% 10.0% 7.9% 7.6% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Allison Chenard 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.0% 6.0% 6.6% 8.7% 9.6% 15.0% 14.2% 13.2% 5.0%
Jenna Probst 10.2% 11.4% 10.7% 9.5% 11.4% 12.5% 10.2% 10.8% 5.9% 3.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Hannah Pokorny 5.4% 6.5% 7.6% 8.0% 7.9% 8.6% 11.0% 11.8% 11.4% 9.3% 7.2% 4.0% 1.3%
Rachel Prucnal 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 1.4% 3.0% 1.9% 3.3% 3.0% 5.1% 6.9% 14.4% 24.1% 32.8%
Corinne Poitras 1.9% 1.1% 2.6% 2.4% 4.1% 4.9% 4.3% 6.4% 8.9% 12.8% 17.4% 19.7% 13.5%
Victoria Newberry 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 3.5% 4.6% 4.1% 6.7% 10.6% 21.0% 42.6%
Margaret MacCormack 3.6% 4.8% 6.2% 5.7% 6.7% 8.5% 9.4% 9.4% 12.4% 13.6% 11.4% 5.9% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.