Race 4A

phebe-corkran-king

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paula Resto 8.0% 9.1% 9.7% 10.1% 11.1% 11.2% 9.6% 11.5% 7.4% 6.1% 4.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Jenna Probst 9.6% 10.4% 11.7% 11.7% 10.6% 10.7% 9.8% 9.4% 7.3% 4.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0%
emilia giovine 3.3% 4.8% 5.6% 7.6% 7.3% 8.8% 9.6% 11.2% 12.6% 11.6% 9.3% 6.6% 1.7%
Marian Frances Williams 19.7% 17.0% 14.8% 13.8% 11.0% 7.8% 7.2% 4.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 10.7% 10.5% 10.8% 9.6% 11.5% 10.4% 10.3% 8.4% 8.7% 4.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Riley Kloc 8.6% 9.5% 10.8% 9.3% 10.5% 11.2% 10.2% 8.9% 7.6% 8.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.7% 18.7% 15.3% 13.0% 10.7% 8.5% 5.3% 2.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Prucnal 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 2.6% 2.8% 5.0% 9.1% 14.2% 24.2% 30.8%
Margaret MacCormack 4.4% 5.7% 4.9% 6.6% 6.5% 7.7% 10.2% 9.9% 12.8% 12.3% 10.5% 6.6% 1.9%
Allison Chenard 3.9% 3.4% 3.4% 4.4% 4.3% 6.2% 7.2% 10.2% 11.4% 14.1% 12.6% 12.9% 6.0%
Hannah Pokorny 6.5% 6.8% 8.0% 8.1% 9.0% 9.0% 11.4% 11.0% 9.7% 9.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
Corinne Poitras 1.0% 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.4% 11.1% 18.5% 20.0% 17.5%
Victoria Newberry 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 2.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 3.8% 4.6% 6.5% 14.0% 21.5% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.