Race 5A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marian Frances Williams 18.9% 16.5% 15.9% 13.0% 11.1% 9.6% 5.3% 5.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Riley Kloc 7.9% 9.5% 9.5% 9.6% 11.1% 11.2% 10.5% 10.6% 8.0% 6.3% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
emilia giovine 3.9% 4.8% 4.9% 7.5% 7.9% 9.3% 9.3% 9.9% 11.9% 12.3% 10.1% 5.9% 2.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 21.2% 20.2% 16.1% 13.9% 8.2% 8.4% 6.4% 2.8% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Margaret MacCormack 5.7% 5.1% 5.8% 6.1% 8.3% 8.2% 9.0% 9.1% 13.6% 10.6% 11.2% 5.5% 1.8%
Paula Resto 8.5% 9.8% 10.0% 10.6% 9.3% 11.2% 11.0% 9.7% 7.0% 6.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Jenna Probst 11.3% 11.5% 10.8% 9.6% 10.7% 11.4% 9.9% 8.2% 7.5% 5.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Allison Chenard 3.2% 4.3% 3.5% 4.5% 4.6% 4.9% 9.1% 9.7% 10.4% 15.1% 13.8% 13.0% 3.9%
Hannah Pokorny 5.8% 5.4% 8.5% 8.0% 8.5% 8.0% 10.7% 12.4% 9.8% 11.0% 7.4% 3.1% 1.4%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 9.9% 9.8% 10.4% 12.3% 11.0% 9.9% 10.1% 8.8% 7.1% 5.4% 3.8% 0.8% 0.7%
Corinne Poitras 2.0% 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 4.1% 4.5% 4.4% 6.8% 9.1% 11.2% 18.2% 20.5% 13.2%
Rachel Prucnal 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.4% 2.0% 2.7% 4.2% 5.6% 6.9% 12.6% 23.8% 35.3%
Victoria Newberry 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.6% 5.9% 6.9% 11.4% 23.1% 40.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.