Race 6A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Riley Kloc 7.9% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 9.6% 10.9% 11.0% 9.9% 9.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
emilia giovine 4.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.1% 7.4% 8.7% 9.2% 11.3% 12.2% 11.7% 10.1% 6.2% 1.6%
Marian Frances Williams 19.4% 15.4% 15.8% 14.1% 11.5% 6.9% 8.9% 4.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 9.3% 9.1% 11.8% 10.3% 12.5% 9.7% 9.7% 9.5% 7.5% 5.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Margaret MacCormack 5.2% 5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 8.7% 8.0% 8.2% 9.8% 12.2% 12.8% 9.4% 6.4% 1.4%
Paula Resto 8.7% 9.7% 10.2% 11.7% 8.7% 11.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.1% 5.4% 5.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Jenna Probst 10.5% 10.9% 12.8% 9.8% 8.7% 12.5% 9.8% 9.1% 7.0% 5.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.3% 20.5% 13.9% 14.7% 11.3% 7.9% 4.2% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Pokorny 6.0% 7.2% 6.0% 7.6% 7.6% 10.1% 11.8% 12.0% 9.6% 8.7% 9.1% 3.2% 1.1%
Allison Chenard 3.3% 3.8% 3.5% 3.8% 6.3% 5.7% 7.5% 9.5% 12.1% 12.5% 15.1% 10.9% 6.0%
Corinne Poitras 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8% 4.7% 3.8% 5.1% 6.6% 8.1% 13.3% 16.7% 20.4% 13.9%
Rachel Prucnal 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 3.6% 3.8% 5.0% 7.8% 12.3% 24.9% 34.3%
Victoria Newberry 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 2.9% 4.3% 8.1% 11.7% 22.6% 40.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.