← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.42vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.86+3.62vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.86+2.70vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami1.97+1.37vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.17-0.26vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.51+0.52vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan2.03-1.90vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.25-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University1.27-1.68vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia0.85-1.65vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-0.19-0.34vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy0.28-2.16vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University-0.35-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
-
5.62Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.7Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.37University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
-
4.74College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
-
6.52Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
-
5.1University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.2Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.32Clemson University1.270.1%1st Place
-
8.35University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
-
10.66University of Maryland-0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.84Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.16North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 23.1% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Paula Resto | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicole Simon | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| emilia giovine | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Allison Chenard | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 6.5% |
| Rachel Prucnal | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 24.0% | 29.1% |
| Corinne Poitras | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 17.1% |
| Victoria Newberry | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 22.3% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.