Race 8A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paula Resto 8.8% 8.9% 11.8% 9.5% 10.2% 9.6% 10.8% 10.2% 8.5% 6.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.5%
emilia giovine 4.7% 5.2% 6.1% 7.0% 6.5% 9.7% 9.0% 11.1% 10.8% 12.6% 9.6% 5.8% 1.9%
Margaret MacCormack 4.5% 4.1% 6.7% 7.2% 7.4% 7.6% 9.8% 10.9% 10.8% 13.8% 9.0% 6.1% 2.1%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 10.2% 9.0% 12.4% 11.5% 11.0% 8.9% 10.9% 8.2% 8.9% 5.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 24.8% 21.9% 14.5% 12.3% 9.2% 7.3% 4.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Riley Kloc 8.7% 11.2% 10.2% 9.6% 11.5% 10.3% 9.0% 9.3% 8.2% 6.5% 3.6% 1.7% 0.2%
Allison Chenard 3.6% 4.4% 3.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 5.7% 8.7% 11.7% 11.3% 16.8% 11.7% 4.3%
Nicole Simon 13.4% 12.7% 12.3% 11.9% 11.1% 10.9% 10.8% 7.7% 4.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Jenna Probst 10.6% 11.3% 11.3% 10.8% 11.5% 11.0% 9.5% 7.2% 7.4% 5.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4%
Hannah Pokorny 6.9% 7.7% 6.6% 8.5% 9.2% 9.4% 10.4% 9.7% 9.2% 10.0% 7.7% 3.2% 1.5%
Victoria Newberry 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 4.9% 5.8% 7.5% 12.4% 22.9% 35.8%
Corinne Poitras 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 4.1% 5.2% 5.0% 7.5% 10.5% 17.2% 22.7% 16.6%
Rachel Prucnal 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 4.2% 5.6% 7.8% 12.8% 21.9% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.