Race 9A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paula Resto 7.8% 9.8% 12.2% 9.7% 9.3% 11.7% 10.9% 9.0% 8.9% 5.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Riley Kloc 9.7% 9.8% 8.2% 11.0% 11.5% 10.4% 10.0% 8.8% 8.2% 6.9% 2.9% 2.3% 0.3%
Hannah Pokorny 5.3% 6.9% 8.7% 7.9% 6.9% 9.9% 10.7% 10.6% 12.2% 8.9% 7.7% 3.5% 0.8%
Margaret MacCormack 4.4% 5.9% 5.5% 6.1% 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 10.5% 10.2% 13.3% 11.2% 6.1% 1.5%
Olivia de Olazarra 25.1% 20.7% 14.3% 13.0% 9.2% 7.4% 4.2% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 11.3% 10.4% 10.1% 11.5% 10.9% 10.5% 10.4% 8.9% 5.5% 5.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Nicole Simon 13.7% 11.5% 13.2% 13.0% 11.7% 8.8% 8.6% 7.3% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Jenna Probst 10.9% 11.8% 12.3% 10.6% 10.9% 11.2% 11.0% 8.2% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.1%
emilia giovine 5.0% 5.6% 6.0% 5.5% 7.7% 8.7% 8.5% 11.6% 11.3% 11.1% 11.3% 5.5% 2.2%
Corinne Poitras 1.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 4.1% 3.3% 6.2% 8.4% 10.4% 18.2% 20.7% 16.0%
Allison Chenard 3.3% 3.2% 3.8% 6.4% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 8.5% 12.4% 14.7% 12.2% 10.9% 5.0%
Victoria Newberry 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.9% 5.3% 5.6% 11.8% 22.7% 40.0%
Rachel Prucnal 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 2.8% 1.2% 3.5% 3.4% 4.1% 9.6% 13.3% 23.9% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.