Race 10A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicole Simon 11.4% 13.7% 12.8% 12.1% 9.7% 11.8% 9.0% 9.6% 4.2% 3.1% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 10.2% 10.0% 10.6% 12.0% 11.5% 11.1% 9.5% 7.6% 6.8% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.5%
Riley Kloc 8.2% 8.8% 10.2% 11.4% 10.1% 10.7% 8.9% 11.4% 9.3% 5.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.5%
emilia giovine 4.6% 6.3% 5.2% 5.9% 9.1% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 11.2% 11.7% 10.6% 6.1% 1.6%
Margaret MacCormack 5.9% 5.3% 6.1% 7.8% 7.2% 7.5% 9.0% 9.9% 10.7% 12.7% 10.0% 5.4% 2.5%
Allison Chenard 3.1% 4.1% 4.9% 3.6% 6.8% 6.3% 7.5% 6.8% 12.2% 14.0% 12.9% 12.0% 5.8%
Jenna Probst 12.3% 10.1% 11.6% 11.3% 10.3% 11.6% 9.8% 8.7% 6.7% 4.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Corinne Poitras 1.5% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 3.7% 5.4% 5.3% 7.9% 11.4% 19.4% 20.5% 13.9%
Victoria Newberry 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 6.1% 11.9% 21.6% 40.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 25.9% 18.5% 15.4% 11.5% 9.3% 7.9% 4.4% 3.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Paula Resto 8.8% 12.4% 9.9% 10.8% 9.7% 9.1% 11.8% 9.4% 7.7% 5.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.6%
Hannah Pokorny 6.2% 6.0% 7.4% 7.8% 9.7% 7.2% 10.1% 9.9% 12.1% 11.1% 6.8% 4.2% 1.5%
Rachel Prucnal 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 4.3% 4.5% 8.0% 13.5% 25.5% 32.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.