Race 11A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Riley Kloc 8.9% 9.9% 9.7% 11.3% 10.1% 8.9% 10.6% 10.6% 8.9% 4.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.2%
Nicole Simon 11.2% 13.5% 13.8% 10.8% 11.2% 11.1% 8.5% 7.3% 6.2% 3.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 24.0% 19.3% 14.8% 13.2% 10.3% 7.6% 5.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 10.5% 10.1% 11.2% 11.5% 9.4% 10.8% 11.0% 9.2% 6.6% 4.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Hannah Pokorny 7.3% 6.7% 8.2% 8.0% 9.2% 9.2% 10.2% 11.4% 9.4% 8.6% 7.5% 3.6% 0.7%
Paula Resto 9.6% 10.3% 10.2% 10.4% 10.7% 10.6% 9.6% 8.5% 8.1% 6.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Jenna Probst 11.7% 11.7% 12.3% 10.3% 9.8% 10.5% 11.2% 8.6% 6.0% 4.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Rachel Prucnal 1.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.5% 3.3% 2.5% 2.0% 2.6% 6.1% 8.7% 12.2% 23.2% 33.4%
Margaret MacCormack 5.3% 5.2% 5.0% 6.3% 6.9% 9.1% 8.7% 11.9% 10.6% 11.8% 10.0% 7.0% 2.2%
Victoria Newberry 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 2.3% 1.6% 2.8% 4.7% 7.3% 13.4% 20.0% 40.1%
Allison Chenard 3.5% 3.3% 4.4% 6.0% 5.1% 5.9% 9.2% 8.9% 10.9% 13.8% 12.7% 12.1% 4.2%
emilia giovine 4.4% 5.3% 5.2% 6.4% 8.7% 8.5% 7.1% 9.1% 13.4% 12.5% 10.5% 6.3% 2.6%
Corinne Poitras 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 4.5% 6.0% 7.8% 12.8% 17.0% 22.1% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.