Race 12A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicole Simon 12.7% 12.3% 11.7% 12.4% 11.8% 12.0% 7.0% 8.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Paula Resto 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 10.1% 12.2% 9.8% 8.7% 9.6% 8.7% 6.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Jenna Probst 9.3% 10.1% 13.6% 12.7% 9.0% 10.7% 12.5% 7.6% 6.6% 4.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Corinne Poitras 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 12.0% 20.0% 18.9% 16.0%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 9.4% 13.0% 10.7% 10.6% 9.9% 10.2% 10.3% 9.3% 6.6% 4.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Hannah Pokorny 6.9% 7.3% 7.3% 8.0% 8.5% 9.8% 10.1% 11.7% 10.7% 7.8% 7.3% 4.0% 0.6%
Riley Kloc 10.5% 9.0% 11.0% 9.9% 10.9% 10.6% 9.1% 8.5% 8.6% 7.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Margaret MacCormack 5.4% 6.2% 5.4% 5.4% 8.4% 8.6% 7.8% 10.1% 13.6% 12.8% 9.3% 5.3% 1.7%
Allison Chenard 3.6% 4.0% 3.7% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 7.6% 8.7% 10.1% 15.2% 13.5% 13.4% 5.2%
Olivia de Olazarra 24.4% 20.5% 15.4% 11.6% 8.9% 7.9% 3.8% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
emilia giovine 4.7% 5.5% 6.9% 8.1% 9.1% 7.4% 10.3% 9.5% 10.9% 11.1% 8.6% 5.7% 2.2%
Rachel Prucnal 1.1% 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.5% 2.3% 4.5% 3.5% 5.5% 7.1% 11.7% 25.4% 33.6%
Victoria Newberry 1.0% 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 7.2% 14.0% 21.8% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.