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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.41vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.17+2.81vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.25+4.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.97+0.27vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.86-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03-1.93vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51-1.50vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.27-1.67vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia0.85-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.19-0.37vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.35-0.86vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.28-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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4.81College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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7.36Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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5.65Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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5.57Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.5Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.33Clemson University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Maryland-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.14North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.92Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 22.7% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Simon | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Paula Resto | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| emilia giovine | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Allison Chenard | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Rachel Prucnal | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 24.4% | 27.8% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 21.3% | 42.6% |
| Corinne Poitras | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.