Race 1B

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Sailer 13.8% 13.5% 13.0% 15.2% 12.5% 9.7% 10.2% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Brittney Slook 33.4% 23.7% 17.8% 9.5% 8.0% 5.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jenn Casey 4.5% 5.0% 5.6% 6.9% 6.5% 8.7% 10.7% 13.0% 17.1% 14.4% 7.2% 0.4%
Kiera Oreardon 8.3% 11.7% 12.4% 12.1% 13.5% 12.4% 9.9% 8.4% 6.2% 4.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Colleen Baumann 10.0% 10.6% 12.5% 11.0% 12.7% 12.2% 10.4% 8.6% 6.4% 5.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Sarah Youtt 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 7.1% 5.4% 6.9% 8.6% 12.6% 16.2% 19.9% 10.7% 0.9%
Maartje van Dam 7.7% 8.3% 9.2% 9.9% 11.8% 10.7% 12.4% 11.9% 9.7% 6.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Ainsley Parramore 6.7% 8.2% 6.8% 9.6% 8.6% 11.0% 12.2% 12.7% 12.1% 9.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Olivia Keefe 8.0% 10.4% 13.1% 12.4% 11.7% 12.5% 11.0% 9.8% 6.6% 3.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Mary James 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 2.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 5.8% 10.4% 49.6% 21.2%
Baxter Barrett 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 1.1% 3.7% 16.4% 75.2%
Olivia Mitchell 3.2% 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 6.9% 8.0% 9.8% 12.9% 15.2% 20.9% 9.6% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.