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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.69+3.36vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.53+5.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.35vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.03+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.26+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.28+1.61vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.33-1.95vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.85-1.80vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.40-4.21vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.34-1.47vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.77-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.01Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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2.65U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
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5.89Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.2Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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4.79College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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7.59Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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11.03North Carolina State University-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Sailer | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jenn Casey | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 33.3% | 23.1% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 1.9% |
| Mary James | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 37.5% | 35.8% |
| Sarah Bailey | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 6.6% | 24.5% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.