Race 4B

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Sailer 14.0% 14.4% 13.0% 14.2% 14.0% 9.1% 9.1% 6.0% 3.5% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Brittney Slook 32.8% 25.6% 15.8% 9.8% 7.8% 5.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Keefe 9.7% 9.0% 11.7% 9.8% 12.0% 10.6% 13.2% 12.0% 7.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Kiera Oreardon 8.5% 11.9% 14.5% 12.8% 10.5% 12.2% 10.8% 9.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Sarah Youtt 3.1% 4.2% 4.7% 5.2% 6.5% 7.9% 9.0% 11.1% 15.0% 19.7% 10.9% 2.7%
Maartje van Dam 7.6% 8.1% 8.7% 8.1% 10.5% 13.4% 11.2% 12.3% 10.4% 7.4% 2.0% 0.3%
Colleen Baumann 10.5% 11.2% 12.0% 12.3% 11.8% 11.3% 9.8% 9.1% 6.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Jenn Casey 5.1% 4.9% 6.0% 7.9% 8.5% 8.0% 9.3% 12.8% 15.8% 13.9% 6.3% 1.5%
Ainsley Parramore 4.9% 6.2% 8.3% 10.8% 10.7% 11.4% 13.2% 10.2% 12.2% 8.1% 3.9% 0.1%
Mary James 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.9% 6.0% 11.5% 35.8% 34.6%
Olivia Mitchell 3.0% 3.2% 3.7% 6.4% 4.8% 7.5% 9.2% 12.6% 14.8% 20.0% 11.8% 3.0%
Sarah Bailey 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 6.0% 25.5% 57.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.