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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.65vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.33+3.09vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.26+2.41vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+0.42vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.25+2.53vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.40-1.04vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.03-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.28-0.55vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.67-2.28vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85-3.92vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.34-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
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5.09Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.53Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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4.96College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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6.72Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.08Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 31.8% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Sailer | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 9.9% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Maartje van Dam | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 8.6% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 4.9% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Mary James | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.