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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.63vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.33+3.05vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.40+2.12vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+2.44vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.26-0.75vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.67-0.54vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.55vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.03-3.15vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.28-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.34-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.12College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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6.44Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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4.24Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.46Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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7.45Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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5.85Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 31.2% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Sailer | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Carrie Marshall | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 4.0% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 8.4% |
| Maartje van Dam | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 23.1% | 8.8% |
| Mary James | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.