← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.66vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami1.26+3.24vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College0.85+3.39vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.03+1.96vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.40-0.06vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.33-0.90vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.69-2.89vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.57vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan0.28-1.45vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.67-3.49vs Predicted
-
12University of Georgia-1.34-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
-
5.24University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.39Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
-
5.96Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
-
4.94College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
-
5.1Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
-
4.11Georgetown University1.690.2%1st Place
-
7.43Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
-
7.55University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
-
6.51Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
-
10.09University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 31.5% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 2.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Baumann | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 9.7% |
| Carrie Marshall | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Mary James | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.