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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.04+2.70vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+4.29vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.33+2.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.23vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.40+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.26-0.66vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.67-0.50vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.03-2.22vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.34-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.28-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Georgetown University2.040.2%1st Place
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6.29Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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5.35Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
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5.04College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.5Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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5.78Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.72Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macey McCann | 16.7% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 29.8% | 23.6% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Carrie Marshall | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 3.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 22.3% | 12.0% |
| Mary James | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 12.2% | 69.3% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.