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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+5.17vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+7.54vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+7.02vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+3.19vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+2.23vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin4.10+1.24vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.89-2.58vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida4.17-1.21vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.49-3.49vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.87vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.23+0.24vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.84+0.20vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.57vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.73-1.40vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.07-3.58vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.64-0.26vs Predicted
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18Boston University4.07-9.83vs Predicted
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19Washington College3.65-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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9.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.79University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.24Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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13.2George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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13.6Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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16.74Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.69Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 9.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Peter Miller | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| John Stokes | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Rob Struckett | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| William Ricketson | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 12.5% |
| Weston Barlow | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 52.7% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.