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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.04+2.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.40+2.99vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+3.86vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.33+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.26+0.31vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.28+0.42vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.56-6.21vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.03-4.27vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.34-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Georgetown University2.040.2%1st Place
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4.99College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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6.86Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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5.31Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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6.34Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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7.51Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
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5.73Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macey McCann | 17.1% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Carrie Marshall | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 4.8% |
| Colleen Baumann | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Keefe | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Youtt | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 9.0% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 8.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 29.8% | 24.2% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Mary James | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.