Race 10B

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Macey McCann 17.3% 17.4% 17.4% 14.8% 12.3% 10.2% 5.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Colleen Baumann 9.2% 10.4% 9.5% 12.8% 12.9% 12.2% 11.8% 8.5% 8.6% 3.7% 0.4%
Brittney Slook 29.1% 23.9% 17.6% 11.6% 9.2% 4.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Maartje van Dam 6.0% 7.6% 7.4% 9.3% 9.4% 12.4% 13.0% 13.6% 9.9% 9.2% 2.2%
Kiera Oreardon 10.2% 11.4% 12.2% 11.2% 12.3% 11.7% 9.9% 9.8% 6.3% 4.5% 0.5%
Carrie Marshall 4.3% 5.3% 7.1% 6.8% 7.9% 10.6% 10.5% 14.9% 14.5% 13.0% 5.1%
Ainsley Parramore 7.1% 6.4% 8.0% 9.2% 9.3% 12.1% 13.8% 10.2% 12.4% 8.6% 2.9%
Olivia Keefe 9.6% 9.3% 11.3% 14.0% 11.3% 10.5% 10.4% 9.6% 9.4% 4.1% 0.5%
Sarah Youtt 3.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.4% 7.5% 6.0% 9.4% 13.8% 15.8% 22.0% 10.0%
Olivia Mitchell 3.7% 3.9% 4.3% 4.9% 6.1% 7.8% 10.2% 12.1% 15.4% 22.8% 8.8%
Mary James 0.5% 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 3.7% 5.8% 11.5% 69.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.