← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.75vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.40+3.04vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.26+2.36vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.33+1.22vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.04-1.34vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.03-0.10vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan0.28+0.55vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College0.85-1.72vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.53-3.03vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy0.25-3.33vs Predicted
-
12University of Georgia-1.34-1.46vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University-1.77-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.75U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
-
5.04College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
-
5.36University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
-
5.22Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
-
3.66Georgetown University2.040.2%1st Place
-
5.9Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
-
7.55University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
-
6.28Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
-
6.97Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
-
7.67Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
-
11.07North Carolina State University-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 30.2% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Macey McCann | 19.4% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 11.8% | 1.9% |
| Mary James | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 38.3% | 35.9% |
| Sarah Bailey | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 26.5% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.