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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.40+4.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.73vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.04+0.64vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.53+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.26+0.39vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.25+1.72vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.33-1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.28-0.42vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.03-4.24vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.85-4.75vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.34-1.44vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.77-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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2.73U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
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3.64Georgetown University2.040.2%1st Place
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7.12Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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7.72Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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5.76Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.25Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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11.03North Carolina State University-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiera Oreardon | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 29.9% | 25.7% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 18.6% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 10.9% | 2.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Mary James | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 38.1% | 36.1% |
| Sarah Bailey | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 25.3% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.