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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.67vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.40+2.97vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+1.26vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.53+3.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.33+0.14vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.03-0.17vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.28-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.26-3.89vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.39vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.77-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.34-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67U. S. Naval Academy2.560.3%1st Place
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4.97College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University1.690.2%1st Place
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7.08Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.83Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.21Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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7.61Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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11.04North Carolina State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 31.7% | 25.7% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 15.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Colleen Baumann | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Keefe | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Bailey | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 25.0% | 58.1% |
| Mary James | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 38.6% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.