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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+5.08vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+6.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.30vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+7.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+3.58vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.64+10.62vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.07+5.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.89-2.54vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.65+0.88vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-0.60vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida4.17-3.80vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-4.98vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.17-6.02vs Predicted
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15Brown University4.49-8.41vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.23-4.19vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.73-3.23vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.84-4.67vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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16.62Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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5.46Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.88Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.2University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.81Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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13.77Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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13.33George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Peter Miller | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 53.3% |
| Weston Barlow | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Sinks | 15.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Marks | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Stokes | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 13.6% |
| William Ricketson | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 9.1% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.