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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University4.07+7.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+3.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+4.99vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65+6.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+1.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.49+0.65vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.73+6.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+0.57vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44+1.70vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-0.56vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida4.17-3.12vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.23+0.23vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.84+0.18vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin4.10-5.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.96vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.64+0.84vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.07-4.60vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.79vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.99Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.13Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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13.78Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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9.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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12.23Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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13.18George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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16.84Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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13.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 11.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Peter Miller | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Sam Padnos | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Marks | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Rob Struckett | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| William Ricketson | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 54.0% |
| Weston Barlow | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 8.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.