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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+3.29vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+5.64vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53+6.46vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.93+3.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+3.09vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.97+1.62vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26-0.53vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39+1.67vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.25+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.91-2.02vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.82-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of Texas0.98-0.37vs Predicted
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13Princeton University2.35-6.86vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.69-5.69vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.75-2.98vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01-1.58vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.67vs Predicted
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18Miami University-1.32-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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7.64North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.46Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
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7.63Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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6.47Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.31Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.98University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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8.23Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Texas0.980.0%1st Place
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6.14Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.31Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.02Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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14.42Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
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14.33Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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16.76Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 18.5% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ota Dvorak | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.0% | 0.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Connor Sager | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 26.1% | 13.5% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 25.1% | 12.7% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 15.1% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.