← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.53+8.45vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami1.97+5.77vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.93+4.95vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.82+4.02vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+3.10vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.91+1.79vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01+7.34vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University2.35-1.82vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.39+0.77vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.01-5.73vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University2.01-3.44vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University0.75+0.41vs Predicted
-
13University of Texas0.98-1.83vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University1.69-5.62vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University2.26-8.56vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College1.25-5.65vs Predicted
-
17Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.72vs Predicted
-
18Miami University-1.32-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.45Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.77University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
-
7.95Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
-
8.02Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
8.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
-
7.79University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
-
14.34Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
-
6.18Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
9.77Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
4.27Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
-
7.56North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
12.41Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.17University of Texas0.980.0%1st Place
-
8.38Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.44Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
-
10.35Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
-
14.28Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
16.77Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lukas Kraak | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Sager | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 26.0% | 14.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 18.5% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Ota Dvorak | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 18.2% | 25.6% | 12.2% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 15.7% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.