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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+3.20vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+4.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+5.13vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82+3.82vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.93+2.43vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.37+3.61vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01+0.21vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39+1.50vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.97-1.72vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.25+0.26vs Predicted
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11Princeton University2.35-4.87vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.91-4.17vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.75-1.31vs Predicted
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14University of Texas0.14-0.46vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.99vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01-1.81vs Predicted
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17Miami University-1.32-0.19vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.53-9.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.5Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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7.82Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.43Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.61Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.21North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.5Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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10.26Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.13Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.69Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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14.01Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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14.19Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
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16.81Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.87Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 19.3% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline King | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Emily Verdoia | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 7.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 10.5% |
| Connor Sager | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 12.9% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 65.6% |
| David Perez | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.