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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+6.33vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.91+5.66vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+1.06vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+2.26vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.53+3.87vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+3.48vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.97+0.31vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.93-0.64vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35-3.16vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.98+1.14vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01+3.01vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.28+1.57vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.25-3.15vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.75-2.48vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-1.11vs Predicted
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16Miami University-1.32+0.71vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-8.52vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-10.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.66University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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4.06Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.26Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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8.87Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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7.36Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.84Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Texas0.980.0%1st Place
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14.01Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
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13.57Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.85Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.52Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.89Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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16.71Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.48Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 19.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caroline King | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ota Dvorak | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Connor Sager | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 25.2% | 10.2% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 9.4% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 10.6% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 63.8% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Kraak | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.