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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+6.97vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+7.64vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+3.38vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+1.87vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.53+3.79vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.93+1.40vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.91-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.98+1.91vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.25+0.16vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University2.01-3.77vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.97-4.47vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.01-9.10vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.28-0.96vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.75-3.31vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01-1.85vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.96vs Predicted
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18Miami University-1.32-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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9.64Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.38Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.87Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.79Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
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7.4Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.29Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Texas0.980.0%1st Place
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10.16Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.23North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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3.9Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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11.69Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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14.15Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
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14.04Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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16.65Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline King | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ota Dvorak | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 21.8% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 7.2% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Connor Sager | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 23.1% | 12.8% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 23.8% | 11.1% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 15.9% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.