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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+3.03vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+3.90vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.28+10.24vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+5.09vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.37+4.11vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+0.04vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01-0.10vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.75+3.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.91-1.76vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.53-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.97-3.79vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.25-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-5.52vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.93-7.04vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.14-1.59vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.26vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01-3.07vs Predicted
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18Miami University-1.32-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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5.9Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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13.24Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.09Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.11Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.04Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.9North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.38Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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8.85Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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6.96Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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13.41University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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13.74Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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13.93Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
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16.52Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 18.7% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 7.1% |
| Caroline King | 4.6% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Lukas Kraak | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Verdoia | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 8.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 9.6% |
| Connor Sager | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 10.6% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.