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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+6.78vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+1.77vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+2.68vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+5.04vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.97+1.79vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.75+5.32vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.93+0.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-0.70vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.01-2.04vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.98+0.35vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.26-4.86vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.28+0.55vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.53-4.38vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.72vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.91-7.89vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01-2.69vs Predicted
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17Miami University-1.32-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.77Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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5.68Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.04Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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11.32Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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7.1Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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6.96North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Texas0.980.0%1st Place
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6.14Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.62Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
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13.28Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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7.11University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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13.31Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
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15.91Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Hayden | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 21.1% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ota Dvorak | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 6.3% |
| David Perez | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 11.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Sager | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 11.6% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.