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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+7.40vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+4.05vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.97+4.35vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+2.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01-1.06vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.75+5.69vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.28+6.12vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.01-1.01vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.93-1.74vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-0.43vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.98-0.10vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85-0.43vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-5.40vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.53-5.48vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.91-7.61vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01-1.97vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-3.07vs Predicted
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18Miami University-1.32-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.05Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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6.09Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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3.94Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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11.69Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.12Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.99North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.26Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Texas0.980.0%1st Place
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11.57Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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8.52Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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14.03Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
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13.93Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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16.58Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.6% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 7.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 22.4% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 8.2% |
| Adam Larson | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline King | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ota Dvorak | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Lukas Kraak | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Perez | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sager | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 22.3% | 11.5% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 10.9% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 17.2% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.