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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+5.13vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+5.01vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53+5.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.97+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+1.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.14+5.27vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+2.04vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.35-4.11vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.37-1.72vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.75-0.38vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.93-6.04vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.28-1.32vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01-1.27vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.30vs Predicted
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17Miami University-1.32-0.36vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.73Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
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3.79Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.91University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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7.22University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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11.04Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.89Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.28Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.62Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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6.96Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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12.68Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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13.73Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.0%1st Place
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13.7Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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16.64Miami University-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.93Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 21.6% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Kraak | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Verdoia | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 6.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 4.8% |
| Connor Sager | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 9.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 11.2% |
| Erin Gallagher | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 63.2% |
| Caroline King | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.