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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.44+5.92vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+5.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.93+0.09vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.48+0.12vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.26+1.82vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-2.33vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.13-0.78vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16-2.12vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.40-0.54vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.81vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.33-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of Texas0.65-4.27vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.35-2.59vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston-3.54+0.69vs Predicted
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17Miami University-1.64-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.5University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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3.09Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
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4.12Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
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8.06Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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6.59Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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8.22Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.88Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.46Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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10.19Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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12.54Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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12.41Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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16.69Texas A&M University at Galveston-3.540.0%1st Place
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15.1Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 26.6% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Fisichella | 17.4% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Liliana Taub | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 14.7% | 0.6% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 24.8% | 13.1% | 0.8% |
| Israel Calimano | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 9.6% | 85.3% |
| David Jones | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 54.1% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.