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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.93+2.04vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+3.71vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.48+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27+3.62vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59+1.42vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.44+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26+0.61vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.13-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.65+0.74vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.33+2.54vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston-3.54+5.64vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.64+3.03vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.35-0.45vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-3.60vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-7.03vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.40-5.54vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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4.0Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
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7.62University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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6.42Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.13Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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7.91Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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12.54Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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16.64Texas A&M University at Galveston-3.540.0%1st Place
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15.03Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.55Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.4Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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7.97Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.46Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.24Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 27.0% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Fisichella | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Liliana Taub | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 22.6% | 11.8% | 1.2% |
| Israel Calimano | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 9.8% | 84.6% |
| David Jones | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 13.6% | 53.6% | 12.8% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 22.8% | 14.3% | 1.1% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.