← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.93+1.97vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.08+5.89vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.44+3.88vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.59+2.41vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.50vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University1.13+1.97vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.16+0.78vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.48-4.07vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami1.26-1.47vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University0.40+0.11vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-0.94vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.33+0.19vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-0.35-0.67vs Predicted
-
14Texas A&M University at Galveston-3.54+2.67vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas-0.45-2.57vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.27-8.60vs Predicted
-
17Miami University-1.64-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
-
7.89Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.88Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
-
6.41Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
-
5.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
-
7.97Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
-
7.78Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
3.93Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
-
7.53University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
-
10.11Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
-
10.06Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
-
12.19Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
12.33Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
16.67Texas A&M University at Galveston-3.540.0%1st Place
-
12.43University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
-
7.4University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
-
14.94Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 28.0% | 23.2% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Fisichella | 18.6% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Liliana Taub | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 10.1% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 12.3% | 1.2% |
| Israel Calimano | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 8.5% | 85.9% |
| Frederik Winguth | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 24.3% | 11.7% | 1.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Jones | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 51.9% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.