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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.93+1.93vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.48+1.91vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+3.38vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.26+2.29vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+1.91vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.27+0.45vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.13-0.31vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.44-2.02vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.35+2.32vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-0.45+1.49vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.40-1.93vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-2.94vs Predicted
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14Miami University-1.64+0.91vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.33-2.80vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston-3.54+0.67vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
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3.91Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
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6.38Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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7.91Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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7.69Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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6.98Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
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12.32Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
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10.07Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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10.06Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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14.91Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.2Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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16.67Texas A&M University at Galveston-3.540.0%1st Place
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8.06Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 28.6% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Fisichella | 17.5% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 1.3% |
| Frederik Winguth | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 12.4% | 1.1% |
| Kurban Ali | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| David Jones | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 51.6% | 11.1% |
| Liliana Taub | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 10.9% | 0.8% |
| Israel Calimano | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 8.8% | 85.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.