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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.48+3.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+1.18vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.13+5.15vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.16+4.12vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+3.17vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.40+4.75vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.27-0.46vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.44-1.67vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.30+4.92vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.98-5.38vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.35+0.78vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-2.43vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.33-1.16vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.65-5.22vs Predicted
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16Miami University-1.64-0.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-11.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
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3.18Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
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8.15Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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8.12Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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8.17Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.75Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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7.33Jacksonville University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.92Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.300.0%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.78Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.57Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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12.84Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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15.55Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Fisichella | 18.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 25.6% | 22.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wes Sholders | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 28.7% | 30.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 7.6% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Liliana Taub | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 7.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| David Jones | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 20.6% | 51.6% |
| David Alexander | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.