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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.13+6.79vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+1.09vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.74vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.48-1.03vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.27+0.54vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.44-1.13vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.08-0.69vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.40+0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.26-3.33vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.33+0.50vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-2.73vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.35-1.34vs Predicted
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15Miami University-1.64+0.25vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.30-1.21vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-0.45-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.09Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
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5.4Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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3.97Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
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8.02Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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6.87Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.31Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.26Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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12.5Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.27Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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12.66Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.25Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
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14.79Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.300.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Quinn | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 27.4% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Fisichella | 18.3% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kurban Ali | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Taub | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 5.3% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 7.6% |
| David Jones | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 20.7% | 46.1% |
| Wes Sholders | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 25.6% | 30.3% |
| Frederik Winguth | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.