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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.48+2.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+1.08vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.13+4.96vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.44+3.00vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+3.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26+0.52vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.27-1.28vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.33+2.47vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.40-0.58vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-6.61vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-2.75vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.35-1.34vs Predicted
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15Miami University-1.64+0.24vs Predicted
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16University of Texas-0.45-3.14vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.30-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
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3.08Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
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7.96Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.0Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.01Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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7.76Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.72University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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12.47Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.42Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.25Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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12.66Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.24Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
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14.81Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Fisichella | 19.2% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 26.7% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| David Alexander | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liliana Taub | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 5.5% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 6.5% |
| David Jones | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 21.0% | 46.0% |
| Frederik Winguth | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 7.9% |
| Wes Sholders | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 25.7% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.