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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+7.06vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.26+5.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.93+0.09vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.48+0.15vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.13+2.91vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.59+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.27+0.65vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.44-1.03vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16-0.79vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.33+2.70vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-0.48vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.30+2.92vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.65-3.22vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.40-3.36vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.35-2.28vs Predicted
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16Miami University-1.64-0.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-11.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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3.09Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
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4.15Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
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7.91Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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6.75Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.65University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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6.97Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.21Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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12.7Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.52Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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14.92Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.300.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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10.64Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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12.72Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.52Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 26.1% | 22.0% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Fisichella | 18.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joey Lark | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Taub | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 7.6% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Wes Sholders | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 28.8% | 32.7% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Kurban Ali | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 7.8% |
| David Jones | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 23.2% | 49.7% |
| David Alexander | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.