← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.93+2.04vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.08+6.06vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.48+1.09vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.98+1.45vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University0.40+5.14vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-0.12vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.26+0.53vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.16-0.22vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University1.13-0.84vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University1.44-3.11vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.27-3.36vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas-0.45+0.79vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-0.33-0.45vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.35-1.35vs Predicted
-
15Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-4.81vs Predicted
-
16Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.30-1.23vs Predicted
-
17Miami University-1.64-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.04Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
-
8.06Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
4.09Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
-
5.45Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
-
10.14Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
-
7.53University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
-
7.78Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
-
8.16Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
-
6.89Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
-
7.64University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
-
12.79University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
-
12.55Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
12.65Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
10.19Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
-
14.77Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.300.0%1st Place
-
15.39Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 27.5% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alec Fisichella | 16.6% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| David Alexander | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederik Winguth | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 7.6% |
| Liliana Taub | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 6.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 6.2% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Wes Sholders | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 24.7% | 30.3% |
| David Jones | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.