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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.48+2.98vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.40+8.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.93+0.14vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.16+3.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27+2.46vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.44+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.45+5.78vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.08-0.02vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.13-0.86vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.26-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-5.17vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-6.59vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.33-0.52vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-3.66vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.35-2.53vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.30-1.17vs Predicted
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17Miami University-1.64-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Eckerd College2.480.2%1st Place
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10.2Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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3.14Boston College2.930.3%1st Place
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7.92Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.46University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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7.16Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
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7.98Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.14Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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5.41Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.48Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.34Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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12.47Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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14.83Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.300.0%1st Place
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15.42Miami University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Fisichella | 18.3% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Colin Brego | 25.7% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederik Winguth | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 6.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Alexander | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Taub | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 7.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 7.3% |
| Wes Sholders | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 27.4% | 30.1% |
| David Jones | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.