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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+8.20vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+1.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+2.16vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.29+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.69+0.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.30-5.88vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.75-2.00vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.41vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.09-3.30vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.41-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.37San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Irvine-0.090.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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9.2California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.0University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.59California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.7Santa Clara University-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Davis0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Patrick | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 20.6% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| John Rzepczynski | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.