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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+7.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.18vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+2.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.21vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.29+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.69+0.88vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-0.97+0.58vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.41-5.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.12vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-1.97-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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3.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.1%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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7.75San Diego State University-0.290.1%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.75California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Davis0.410.1%1st Place
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8.88University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.56Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caila Devlin | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 20.0% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 18.2% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 56.7% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.