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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+7.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+3.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.05vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.41-2.07vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.29-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.69-1.19vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-2.29vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-1.97-0.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.82vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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3.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Davis0.410.1%1st Place
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7.86San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.71California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.43Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.71California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caila Devlin | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 16.4% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 17.9% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 21.8% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 51.6% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.