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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.67vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+6.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+4.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.41+2.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.19vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.29-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.73-4.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.69-1.35vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.41vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-5.11vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.97-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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8.89California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.1%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Davis0.410.1%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.56San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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10.36California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.59University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.89California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.35Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hood | 22.7% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 16.3% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 9.8% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 53.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.