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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.41+4.14vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+6.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+1.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.09-1.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.69-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.26vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-2.95vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.29-4.56vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.77vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.97-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Davis0.410.1%1st Place
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9.05California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.1%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.74University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.05California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.44San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.23California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.34Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hood | 20.4% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 18.9% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 53.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.